
The Week Ahead | 17–21 August 2026
UK inflation, Federal Reserve minutes, major US retail earnings and fresh economic data from China will give investors plenty to assess in the week ahead.
ET&A Research · 16 August 2026 · 5 min read

BABA · NYSE · Internet Retail
Alibaba Group Holding Limited is one of China’s largest technology and e-commerce companies, operating a broad digital ecosystem across online retail, wholesale marketplaces, cloud computing, logistics, local services,…
Current price
$111.17
▲ +$0.32 (0.29%) today
ET&A View
Last reviewed 14 September 2026
ET&A sees significant upside from the current price with an attractive risk/reward profile.
Alibaba combines one of China's dominant e-commerce franchises with an increasingly valuable AI and cloud platform.
Business Health
Is the business financially healthy?
Mostly healthy
Earnings and the balance sheet stand out. Watch cash generation.
Overall
Revenue
CN¥1.04tn · ↑ +3% last year
Earnings
CN¥73.3bn · ↓ −20% last year
Margins
Keeps 7% of sales as operating profit
Cash generation
Uses more cash than it brings in
Balance sheet
More cash than debt
Dividend
0.9% yield · Pays out 25% of earnings · covered 3.9×
Investor View
Open a section for the detail behind the quick view.
Alibaba combines one of China's dominant e-commerce franchises with an increasingly valuable AI and cloud platform. The mature commerce business continues to generate substantial operating profits, while AI Cloud and…
The complete ET&A view
See our full reasoning, what could drive the shares higher or go wrong, our Fair Value and Preferred Entry, and how our view has changed.
Reported annual results, newest first · Market data. “Growth” is the change in sales on the year before.
| Year | Revenue | Growth | Operating margin | Net income | EPS | Free cash flow |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | CN¥1.02tn | +2.7% | 5.8% | CN¥103.6bn | CN¥44.00 | −CN¥50.7bn |
| FY2025 | CN¥996.3bn | +5.9% | 14.8% | CN¥130.1bn | CN¥53.60 | CN¥77.5bn |
| FY2024 | CN¥941.2bn | +8.3% | 13.2% | CN¥80.0bn | CN¥31.28 | CN¥149.7bn |
| FY2023 | CN¥868.7bn | — | 11.9% | CN¥72.8bn | CN¥27.44 | CN¥165.4bn |
Long-term growth investors
Also suits: Adventurous investors comfortable with big swings
ET&A sees significant upside from the current price with an attractive risk/reward profile.
ET&A sees significant upside from the current price with an attractive risk/reward profile.
ET&A sees significant upside from the current price with an attractive risk/reward profile.
Compare Alibaba Group Holding Ltd with any company → The model’s own peer calculations are in the Research View.
Alibaba Group Holding Limited is one of China’s largest technology and e-commerce companies, operating a broad digital ecosystem across online retail, wholesale marketplaces, cloud computing, logistics, local services, digital media, and artificial intelligence. The company is best known for platforms such as Taobao, Tmall, Alibaba.com, AliExpress, Lazada, Cainiao, Ele.me, and Alibaba Cloud, which together serve consumers, merchants, enterprises, and logistics partners across China and international markets.
Alibaba is more than just an online shopping business. It is a major digital infrastructure company built around commerce, data, payments, logistics, cloud services, and AI-driven enterprise technology. Its core retail platforms give it significant exposure to Chinese consumer spending, while Alibaba Cloud and its AI initiatives position the company within some of the most important long-term technology themes in Asia and globally.
Internet Retail · China
For detailed analysis. Each section opens on its own.
As of 14 October 2026
Standard ways of comparing the share price with the company’s earnings, sales and cash. Tap the “i” for what each one means.
| Measure | Today | Source |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | Members | |
| Forward P/E | Members | |
| EV/EBITDA | Members | |
| Price/Sales | Members | |
| FCF Yield | Members |
Valuation ratios are part of ET&A membership.
Other published measures
Use the 5Y and Max ranges on the price chart at the top of the page.
Forecasts are market consensus or calculated from forward EPS — not ET&A estimates, and they can be wrong.
Powered by the ET&A Valuation FrameworkHow Fair Value & Preferred Entry work →
Read the full ET&A methodology →The ET&A View combines our assessment of the business with where today’s price sits against our Preferred Entry and Fair Value. It is a considered judgement, not a mechanical score.
ET&A Score: ET&A's overall assessment of business quality, valuation, growth and risk, out of 10. It weighs business quality, financial strength, growth, valuation, risk, future prospects.
Powered by the ET&A Company Assessment FrameworkSee the full framework →
The automatic, rules-based scores that feed our research. The ET&A Score blends these with our own analysis of the business and its value. How the framework works →
Thin margins · Strong balance sheet · Weak
Context — not part of the score
Valuation and share-price swings describe the shares, not the company, so they are judged in the ET&A Score and View instead.
Based on the factors that could be measured (45% of the model).
Each area is scored from 0 to 10 on ET&A’s methodology scales — the same ones our research uses — then given a word: Excellent from 8.5, Strong from 7, Good from 5.5, Average from 4.5, Below Average from 3, Weak below 3. The overall answer is the average of the areas we could rate (at least three); the dividend isn’t part of it.
| Area | Based on | Score | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue |
Rated on 3-year average revenue growth, on ET&A's growth scale. | 5.7 / 10 | Good |
| Earnings |
Rated on 3-year average earnings growth, on ET&A's growth scale. | 7.5 / 10 | Strong |
| Margins |
The average of operating and net margin, each scored on ET&A's margin scales. A negative margin scores 1 (Weak). | 4.7 / 10 | Average |
| Cash generation |
Free cash flow as a share of sales, on ET&A's cash-generation scale. | 2.1 / 10 | Weak |
| Balance sheet |
Net debt ÷ EBITDA — roughly how many years of operating earnings would repay the debt — on ET&A's leverage scale. | 10.0 / 10 | Excellent |
| Dividend |
Dividend yield on ET&A's income scale. Not part of the overall health rating. | 2.9 / 10 | Weak |
| Overall | Average of the 5 rated areas | 6.0 / 10 | Good |
Where each band starts on the scales above. They are fixed and identical for every company we cover; they come straight from ET&A’s methodology, so a company is judged the same way here as in our research.
| Measure | Excellent | Strong | Good | Average | Below Average | Weak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GrowthStructural Growth (Fundamental Conviction) | 18%+ | 10%+ | 5.0%+ | 1.7%+ | −2.5%+ | below −2.5% |
| Operating marginCompetitive Position (Fundamental Conviction) | 29%+ | 20%+ | 13%+ | 7.5%+ | 0%+ | below 0% (loss) |
| Net marginEarnings Durability (Fundamental Conviction) | 23%+ | 15%+ | 9.8%+ | 6.0%+ | 0%+ | below 0% (loss) |
| Free-cash-flow marginCapital Allocation (Fundamental Conviction) | 15%+ | 8.5%+ | 3.8%+ | 1.3%+ | −2.5%+ | below −2.5% |
| Net debt ÷ EBITDAStructural Risk (Fundamental Conviction) | net cash | ≤ 1.5× | ≤ 2.8× | ≤ 3.6× | ≤ 5.0× | above 5.0× |
| Return on equity (banks & insurers)Bank and insurer quality | 16%+ | 12%+ | 9.0%+ | 6.7%+ | 2.7%+ | below 2.7% |
| Equity ÷ assetsBank capital | 7.5%+ | 6.0%+ | 4.7%+ | 4.0%+ | any | — |
| Dividend yieldIncome factor (ET&A Quant Score) | 5.8%+ | 4.0%+ | 2.5%+ | 1.8%+ | 1.0%+ | below 1.0% |
Band floors: Excellent 8.5 · Strong 7 · Good 5.5 · Average 4.5 · Below Average 3 (scores out of 10). Utilities and property companies’ structural debt is scored 6.5, as in ET&A’s risk model.
No research notes have been published for Alibaba Group Holding Ltd yet.
Need deeper analysis on Alibaba Group Holding Ltd? ET&A Professional includes full company notes, valuations and models — or commission bespoke research.

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