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Space Exploration Technologies Corp (SpaceX)

Space Exploration Technologies Corp (SpaceX)

SPCX · NASDAQ · Aerospace & Defence

SpaceX, formally Space Exploration Technologies Corp., is one of the world’s most important private aerospace and satellite communications companies.

Current price

$152.32

▼ −$4.22 (2.70%) today

Share price

Live market data
▼ -8.63 (-5.36%)2026-06-12 — 2026-10-14
$217.58$194.48$171.38$148.28$125.18$102.082026-06-122026-10-14

ET&A View

Last reviewed 17 September 2026

Hold

ET&A sees limited reason to buy aggressively or sell at the current price.

Fair Value
Members
12M Price Target
Members
Preferred Entry
Members
ET&A Score
8.4/ 10Strong overall

SpaceX is arguably one of the most strategically valuable technology platforms in the global market, combining dominant reusable-launch capabilities with Starlink's rapidly scaling connectivity network, Starshield's government…

Is it expensive?

Read our full view

Why we like it

  • Sales are growing quickly (+33% a year).
  • Holds more cash than debt.
  • The share price trend has been positive.

What worries us

  • The company is currently losing money.
  • Spends more cash than it brings in.
  • The share price swings more than most.

Business Health

Is the business financially healthy?

Mixed

Revenue and the balance sheet stand out. Watch earnings, margins and cash generation.

Overall

Average
  • Revenue

    $23.0bn · ↑ +33% last year

    Growth Excellent
  • Earnings

    −$8.9bn · Loss-making

    Growth Weak
  • Margins

    Losing money on its sales

    Weak
  • Cash generation

    Uses more cash than it brings in

    Weak
  • Balance sheet

    More cash than debt

    Excellent

Investor View

More on Space Exploration Technologies Corp (SpaceX)

Open a section for the detail behind the quick view.

Our full viewET&A's complete thesis — why we hold the view we do.

SpaceX is arguably one of the most strategically valuable technology platforms in the global market, combining dominant reusable-launch capabilities with Starlink's rapidly scaling connectivity network, Starshield's…

Insight

The complete ET&A view

See our full reasoning, what could drive the shares higher or go wrong, our Fair Value and Preferred Entry, and how our view has changed.

  • Our View in full
  • What could drive it higher / go wrong
  • Fair Value & Preferred Entry
  • How our view has changed
Explore Insight →Included with Insight
What could drive it higher — and what could go wrongThe catalysts and risks we are watching.
Valuation discussionWhere today's price sits, and how it compares with the company's own history and its peers.
Who it suitsStrategy suitability and investment style.

Long-term growth investors

Also suits: Adventurous investors comfortable with big swings

Investment styleQualityGrowthET&A strategies: Growth, Aggressive Growth · what these mean
How it compares with peersOther companies we cover in Aerospace & Defence.
  • Rheinmetall AGRHM

    ET&A sees significant upside from the current price with an attractive risk/reward profile.

    BuyET&A Score 8.9Compare →
  • Safran S.A.SAF

    ET&A sees significant upside from the current price with an attractive risk/reward profile.

    BuyET&A Score 8.7Compare →
  • Dassault Aviation SAAM

    ET&A sees significant upside from the current price with an attractive risk/reward profile.

    BuyET&A Score 8.5Compare →
  • Embraer S.A.EMBJ

    ET&A sees significant upside from the current price with an attractive risk/reward profile.

    BuyET&A Score 8.5Compare →

Compare Space Exploration Technologies Corp (SpaceX) with any company → The model’s own peer calculations are in the Research View.

What the company doesThe full company profile.

SpaceX, formally Space Exploration Technologies Corp., is one of the world’s most important private aerospace and satellite communications companies. The business designs, manufactures, launches, and operates rockets, spacecraft, satellites, and related space infrastructure, with key platforms including Falcon 9, Falcon Heavy, Dragon, Starship, and Starlink. Its activities span commercial launches, crew and cargo transport, government missions, satellite broadband, national security space, and next-generation reusable launch systems.

SpaceX’s strength comes from its vertical integration, launch cadence, reusable rocket technology, and strategic role in reducing the cost of access to space. Starlink gives the company a large satellite internet platform, while Starship represents its long-term attempt to build a fully reusable heavy-lift transport system for Earth orbit, the Moon, Mars, and beyond. Although SpaceX remains privately held rather than publicly listed, it is one of the most important companies to understand in aerospace, defence, satellite connectivity, and the commercialisation of space.

Aerospace & Defence · USA

Research ViewOpen the full researchFull financial statements, valuation multiples, historical data, forecasts, methodology, scoring calculations and the valuation model.

For detailed analysis. Each section opens on its own.

Financial statementsEvery published figure with its source, the market snapshot and connected sheets.

Income

Revenue
$23.0bn
Gross profit
$12.0bn
EBITDA
$5.9bn
Operating profit (EBIT)
−$2.1bn
Net income
−$8.9bn
Earnings per share (EPS)
−$1.10

Growth

Revenue growth, latest year
33.2%
Earnings growth, latest year
−724.1%
Revenue growth, latest quarter vs a year earlier
91.9%

Margins & returns

Gross margin
51.9%
EBITDA margin
25.6%
Operating margin
−1.8%
Net margin
−35.7%

Cash flow

Operating cash flow
$9.9bn
Free cash flow
−$14.1bn
Free-cash-flow margin
−61.3%

Balance sheet

Cash
$100.0bn
Total debt
$39.7bn
Net cash (more cash than debt)
$60.3bn
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
−10.2×
Debt ÷ equity
0.3×
Current ratio
5.1×

Shares & dividends

Shares outstanding
7.57bn
Market capitalisation
$2.00tn
Dividend per share
$0.00
Dividend yield
0.0%
Payout ratio
0.0%
  • Market data — the live feed (Yahoo Finance)
  • Calculated — worked out by ET&A from the figures shown, using the formulas in our methodology

Other published figures

Price / Sales
Members
EV / EBITDA
Members
Price / Book
Members
Forward P/E
Members
Valuation ratios (P/E, P/S, P/B, EV/EBITDA) are part of ET&A membership — view plans.

Market data

Live
Price$152.32
Day−$4.22 (−2.70%)
52-week range$108.27 – $211.39
vs 52-week low+40.69%
vs 52-week high−27.94%

As of 14 October 2026

Valuation multiplesP/E, forward P/E, EV/EBITDA, Price/Sales and FCF yield — today and at Fair Value.

Standard ways of comparing the share price with the company’s earnings, sales and cash. Tap the “i” for what each one means.

MeasureTodaySource
P/EMembers
Forward P/EMembers
EV/EBITDAMembers
Price/SalesMembers
FCF YieldMembers

Valuation ratios are part of ET&A membership.

Other published measures

Price / Book
Members
Historical dataValuation history, how our view has changed, and the share-price history.

Share-price history

Use the 5Y and Max ranges on the price chart at the top of the page.

ForecastsWhat analysts expect — market consensus, not ET&A estimates.

Forecasts

Forward EPS (next year, consensus)
$1.99

Forecasts are market consensus or calculated from forward EPS — not ET&A estimates, and they can be wrong.

MethodologyHow ET&A values a company and reaches a view.

How we value Space Exploration Technologies Corp (SpaceX)

  1. 1. The right method for the business. Each business is valued on the method that suits its economics — earnings for most companies, book value and returns for banks and insurers, cash flows or dividends where earnings mislead.
  2. 2. What the business deserves. ET&A builds a fair multiple from the company's own quality, sustainable growth, earnings predictability and risk. History, peers and the market are checked against it, but they don't set it.
  3. 3. Fair Value. The earnings (or other basis) per share multiplied by that fair multiple, cross-checked against independent methods.
  4. 4. Preferred Entry. A price below Fair Value that leaves room for the return ET&A requires for the company's risk.
  5. 5. Is it expensive? Today’s price is placed on ET&A’s Valuation Attractiveness scale — the same measure the ET&A Score uses. Cheap is the Preferred Entry; above Fair Value the shares are Expensive, and Very Expensive once they are more than 25% above it.

How we reach a view

The ET&A View combines our assessment of the business with where today’s price sits against our Preferred Entry and Fair Value. It is a considered judgement, not a mechanical score.

  • Business quality
  • Financial performance
  • Growth outlook
  • Debt and financial strength
  • Valuation
  • Risk
  • What could drive it higher
Buy
ET&A sees significant upside from the current price with an attractive risk/reward profile.
Accumulate
ET&A likes the company but would prefer investors to build exposure gradually.
Hold
ET&A sees limited reason to buy aggressively or sell at the current price.
Reduce
ET&A believes the current valuation or risk profile makes a smaller position more appropriate.
Sell
ET&A believes the downside risk materially outweighs the potential return at the current price.

ET&A Score: ET&A's overall assessment of business quality, valuation, growth and risk, out of 10. It weighs business quality, financial strength, growth, valuation, risk, future prospects.

Powered by the ET&A Company Assessment FrameworkSee the full framework →

Scoring calculationsBehind the ET&A Score and the Business Health ratings.

Behind the ET&A Score

The automatic, rules-based scores that feed our research. The ET&A Score blends these with our own analysis of the business and its value. How the framework works →

ET&A Quant Score

7.4/ 10Favourable

Profitable · Strong balance sheet · Strong

Profitability & margins · Profitable5.6
Balance sheet · Strong balance sheet9.5
Price momentum · Strong8.0

Context — not part of the score

  • Valuation multiplesExpensive
  • Share-price steadinessVery high volatility
  • IncomeNo dividend

Valuation and share-price swings describe the shares, not the company, so they are judged in the ET&A Score and View instead.

Annualised volatility
Members
Max drawdown (1y)
Members
3-month return
Members
P/E
Members
Price / Sales
Members
EV / EBITDA
Members
EBITDA margin
Members
Net debt / EBITDA
Members
Dividend yield
Members
The detailed figures behind these scores — price swings, past falls, returns, valuation and margins — are part of ET&A membership. View plans

Based on the factors that could be measured (45% of the model).

Business Health ratings

Each area is scored from 0 to 10 on ET&A’s methodology scales — the same ones our research uses — then given a word: Excellent from 8.5, Strong from 7, Good from 5.5, Average from 4.5, Below Average from 3, Weak below 3. The overall answer is the average of the areas we could rate (at least three); the dividend isn’t part of it.

AreaBased onScoreRating
Revenue
  • Revenue growth, latest year 33.2% → 10.0

Rated on the latest year's revenue growth, on ET&A's growth scale.

10.0 / 10Excellent
Earnings
  • Net income −$8.9bn → 1.0

A loss-making company is always rated Weak for earnings.

1.0 / 10Weak
Margins
  • Operating margin −1.8% → 1.0
  • Net margin −35.7% → 1.0

The average of operating and net margin, each scored on ET&A's margin scales. A negative margin scores 1 (Weak).

1.0 / 10Weak
Cash generation
  • Free-cash-flow margin −61.3% → 2.0

Free cash flow as a share of sales, on ET&A's cash-generation scale.

2.0 / 10Weak
Balance sheet
  • Net debt ÷ EBITDA −10.2× → 10.0

Net debt ÷ EBITDA — roughly how many years of operating earnings would repay the debt — on ET&A's leverage scale.

10.0 / 10Excellent
OverallAverage of the 5 rated areas4.8 / 10Average

ET&A's scales

Where each band starts on the scales above. They are fixed and identical for every company we cover; they come straight from ET&A’s methodology, so a company is judged the same way here as in our research.

MeasureExcellentStrongGoodAverageBelow AverageWeak
GrowthStructural Growth (Fundamental Conviction)18%+10%+5.0%+1.7%+−2.5%+below −2.5%
Operating marginCompetitive Position (Fundamental Conviction)29%+20%+13%+7.5%+0%+below 0% (loss)
Net marginEarnings Durability (Fundamental Conviction)23%+15%+9.8%+6.0%+0%+below 0% (loss)
Free-cash-flow marginCapital Allocation (Fundamental Conviction)15%+8.5%+3.8%+1.3%+−2.5%+below −2.5%
Net debt ÷ EBITDAStructural Risk (Fundamental Conviction)net cash≤ 1.5×≤ 2.8×≤ 3.6×≤ 5.0×above 5.0×
Return on equity (banks & insurers)Bank and insurer quality16%+12%+9.0%+6.7%+2.7%+below 2.7%
Equity ÷ assetsBank capital7.5%+6.0%+4.7%+4.0%+any—
Dividend yieldIncome factor (ET&A Quant Score)5.8%+4.0%+2.5%+1.8%+1.0%+below 1.0%

Band floors: Excellent 8.5 · Strong 7 · Good 5.5 · Average 4.5 · Below Average 3 (scores out of 10). Utilities and property companies’ structural debt is scored 6.5, as in ET&A’s risk model.

Valuation model outputsFair Value, the 12-Month Price Target, Preferred Entry and the expected return — and how each was calculated.
Peer calculationsThe comparable companies the valuation model used, with their multiples and returns.
Detailed assumptionsEvery input the valuation model used, with its source.
Research notesNo research notes published yet.

No research notes have been published for Space Exploration Technologies Corp (SpaceX) yet.

Need deeper analysis on Space Exploration Technologies Corp (SpaceX)? ET&A Professional includes full company notes, valuations and models — or commission bespoke research.

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