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Toyota Motor Corporation

Toyota Motor Corporation

TM · NYSE · Automobile

Toyota Motor Corporation is one of the world’s largest automotive manufacturers, with operations spanning passenger cars, commercial vehicles, luxury vehicles, financial services, and broader mobility solutions.

Current price

$188.51

▼ −$0.20 (0.11%) today

Share price

Live market data
▲ +0.63 (+0.34%)2025-10-13 — 2026-10-14
$253.20$234.88$216.56$198.23$179.91$161.592025-10-132026-10-14

ET&A View

Last reviewed 17 September 2026

Buy

ET&A sees significant upside from the current price with an attractive risk/reward profile.

Fair Value
Members
12M Price Target
Members
Preferred Entry
Members
ET&A Score
8.8/ 10Strong overall

Toyota remains one of the highest-quality global automotive franchises, combining enormous manufacturing scale, leadership in hybrid vehicles, strong Toyota and Lexus brands, a highly profitable North American operation and one…

Is it expensive?

Read our full view

Why we like it

  • Pays a dividend yield of 3.3%, covered 3.9× by earnings.

What worries us

  • Profits are falling (−7%).
  • Carries a lot of debt — about 5.5 years of earnings to repay.
  • Generates little spare cash.

Business Health

Is the business financially healthy?

Some weaknesses

Watch earnings, cash generation and the balance sheet.

Overall

Below Average
  • Revenue

    ¥51.96tn · ↑ +2% a year

    Growth Average
  • Earnings

    ¥4.48tn · ↓ −7% a year

    Growth Weak
  • Margins

    Keeps 8% of sales as operating profit

    Average
  • Cash generation

    ¥179.6bn spare cash a year · 0% of sales

    Below Average
  • Balance sheet

    Debt ≈ 5.5 years of earnings

    Weak
  • Dividend

    3.3% yield · Pays out 26% of earnings · covered 3.9×

    Yield Good

Investor View

More on Toyota Motor Corporation

Open a section for the detail behind the quick view.

Our full viewET&A's complete thesis — why we hold the view we do.

Toyota remains one of the highest-quality global automotive franchises, combining enormous manufacturing scale, leadership in hybrid vehicles, strong Toyota and Lexus brands, a highly profitable North American operation…

Insight

The complete ET&A view

See our full reasoning, what could drive the shares higher or go wrong, our Fair Value and Preferred Entry, and how our view has changed.

  • Our View in full
  • What could drive it higher / go wrong
  • Fair Value & Preferred Entry
  • How our view has changed
Explore Insight →Included with Insight
What could drive it higher — and what could go wrongThe catalysts and risks we are watching.
Valuation discussionWhere today's price sits, and how it compares with the company's own history and its peers.
Who it suitsStrategy suitability and investment style.

Long-term investors who want growth and income

Also suits: Investors who want a mix of growth and stability

Investment styleQualityGrowthIncomeET&A strategies: Income, Balanced, Growth · what these mean
How it compares with peersOther companies we cover in Automobile.

Compare Toyota Motor Corporation with any company → The model’s own peer calculations are in the Research View.

What the company doesThe full company profile.

Toyota Motor Corporation is one of the world’s largest automotive manufacturers, with operations spanning passenger cars, commercial vehicles, luxury vehicles, financial services, and broader mobility solutions. The company is best known for its Toyota and Lexus brands, with a global product range covering petrol, hybrid, plug-in hybrid, battery-electric, hydrogen fuel cell, SUV, sedan, truck, and commercial vehicle segments.

Toyota’s strength comes from its manufacturing scale, global brand trust, hybrid technology leadership, and disciplined approach to vehicle production. While the company remains one of the most important traditional carmakers, it is also investing in the future of mobility through electric vehicles, hydrogen, connected cars, autonomous driving, software, and financial services. This gives Toyota a distinctive position as both a global automotive leader and a long-term participant in the transition toward cleaner, smarter, and more connected transport.

Automobile · Japan

Research ViewOpen the full researchFull financial statements, valuation multiples, historical data, forecasts, methodology, scoring calculations and the valuation model.

For detailed analysis. Each section opens on its own.

Financial statementsEvery published figure with its source, the market snapshot and connected sheets.

Income

Revenue
¥51.96tn
Gross profit
¥8.71tn
EBITDA
¥5.60tn
Operating profit (EBIT)
¥3.77tn
Net income
¥4.48tn
Earnings per share (EPS)
¥22.76

Growth

Revenue growth, 3-year average
1.8%
Earnings growth, 3-year average
−6.9%
Revenue growth, latest quarter vs a year earlier
10.4%
Earnings growth, latest quarter vs a year earlier
86.9%

Margins & returns

Gross margin
16.8%
EBITDA margin
10.8%
Operating margin
7.9%
Net margin
8.6%
Return on equity (ROE)
12.4%
Return on assets (ROA)
2.3%

Cash flow

Operating cash flow
¥4.13tn
Free cash flow
¥179.6bn
Free-cash-flow margin
0.3%
Free cash flow ÷ net income
0.0×

Balance sheet

Cash
¥13.35tn
Total debt
¥43.95tn
Net debt
¥30.60tn
Net debt ÷ EBITDA
5.5×
Debt ÷ equity
1.1×
Current ratio
1.2×

Shares & dividends

Shares outstanding
1.18bn
Market capitalisation
¥222.1bn
Dividend per share
¥95.00
Dividend yield
3.3%
Payout ratio
25.9%
  • Market data — the live feed (Yahoo Finance)
  • Calculated — worked out by ET&A from the figures shown, using the formulas in our methodology

Other published figures

Price / Sales
Members
EV / EBITDA
Members
Price / Book
Members
Forward P/E
Members
Valuation ratios (P/E, P/S, P/B, EV/EBITDA) are part of ET&A membership — view plans.

Market data

Live
Price$188.51
Day−$0.20 (−0.11%)
52-week range$166.50 – $248.29
vs 52-week low+13.22%
vs 52-week high−24.08%

As of 14 October 2026

P/E Ratio
8.29x
Valuation multiplesP/E, forward P/E, EV/EBITDA, Price/Sales and FCF yield — today and at Fair Value.

Standard ways of comparing the share price with the company’s earnings, sales and cash. Tap the “i” for what each one means.

MeasureTodaySource
P/EMembers
Forward P/EMembers
EV/EBITDAMembers
Price/SalesMembers
FCF YieldMembers

Valuation ratios are part of ET&A membership.

Other published measures

Price / Book
Members
Historical dataValuation history, how our view has changed, and the share-price history.

Share-price history

Use the 5Y and Max ranges on the price chart at the top of the page.

ForecastsWhat analysts expect — market consensus, not ET&A estimates.

Forecasts

Forward EPS (next year, consensus)
¥15.78
Expected EPS growth, next year
−30.7%
Expected revenue growth, next year
195.6%

Forecasts are market consensus or calculated from forward EPS — not ET&A estimates, and they can be wrong.

MethodologyHow ET&A values a company and reaches a view.

How we value Toyota Motor Corporation

  1. 1. The right method for the business. Each business is valued on the method that suits its economics — earnings for most companies, book value and returns for banks and insurers, cash flows or dividends where earnings mislead.
  2. 2. What the business deserves. ET&A builds a fair multiple from the company's own quality, sustainable growth, earnings predictability and risk. History, peers and the market are checked against it, but they don't set it.
  3. 3. Fair Value. The earnings (or other basis) per share multiplied by that fair multiple, cross-checked against independent methods.
  4. 4. Preferred Entry. A price below Fair Value that leaves room for the return ET&A requires for the company's risk.
  5. 5. Is it expensive? Today’s price is placed on ET&A’s Valuation Attractiveness scale — the same measure the ET&A Score uses. Cheap is the Preferred Entry; above Fair Value the shares are Expensive, and Very Expensive once they are more than 25% above it.

How we reach a view

The ET&A View combines our assessment of the business with where today’s price sits against our Preferred Entry and Fair Value. It is a considered judgement, not a mechanical score.

  • Business quality
  • Financial performance
  • Growth outlook
  • Debt and financial strength
  • Valuation
  • Risk
  • What could drive it higher
Buy
ET&A sees significant upside from the current price with an attractive risk/reward profile.
Accumulate
ET&A likes the company but would prefer investors to build exposure gradually.
Hold
ET&A sees limited reason to buy aggressively or sell at the current price.
Reduce
ET&A believes the current valuation or risk profile makes a smaller position more appropriate.
Sell
ET&A believes the downside risk materially outweighs the potential return at the current price.

ET&A Score: ET&A's overall assessment of business quality, valuation, growth and risk, out of 10. It weighs business quality, financial strength, growth, valuation, risk, future prospects.

Powered by the ET&A Company Assessment FrameworkSee the full framework →

Scoring calculationsBehind the ET&A Score and the Business Health ratings.

Behind the ET&A Score

The automatic, rules-based scores that feed our research. The ET&A Score blends these with our own analysis of the business and its value. How the framework works →

ET&A Quant Score

3.0/ 10Weak

Thin margins · Highly levered · Soft

Profitability & margins · Thin margins4.2
Balance sheet · Highly levered1.0
Price momentum · Soft3.4

Context — not part of the score

  • Valuation multiplesFairly priced
  • Share-price steadinessHigh volatility
  • IncomeModerate yield

Valuation and share-price swings describe the shares, not the company, so they are judged in the ET&A Score and View instead.

Annualised volatility
Members
Max drawdown (1y)
Members
12-month return
Members
3-month return
Members
P/E
Members
Price / Sales
Members
EV / EBITDA
Members
EBITDA margin
Members
Net debt / EBITDA
Members
Dividend yield
Members
The detailed figures behind these scores — price swings, past falls, returns, valuation and margins — are part of ET&A membership. View plans

Based on the factors that could be measured (45% of the model).

Business Health ratings

Each area is scored from 0 to 10 on ET&A’s methodology scales — the same ones our research uses — then given a word: Excellent from 8.5, Strong from 7, Good from 5.5, Average from 4.5, Below Average from 3, Weak below 3. The overall answer is the average of the areas we could rate (at least three); the dividend isn’t part of it.

AreaBased onScoreRating
Revenue
  • Revenue growth, 3-year average 1.8% → 4.5

Rated on 3-year average revenue growth, on ET&A's growth scale.

4.5 / 10Average
Earnings
  • Earnings growth, 3-year average −6.9% → 2.0

Rated on 3-year average earnings growth, on ET&A's growth scale.

2.0 / 10Weak
Margins
  • Operating margin 7.9% → 4.6
  • Net margin 8.6% → 5.2

The average of operating and net margin, each scored on ET&A's margin scales. A negative margin scores 1 (Weak).

4.9 / 10Average
Cash generation
  • Free-cash-flow margin 0.3% → 4.1

Free cash flow as a share of sales, on ET&A's cash-generation scale.

4.1 / 10Below Average
Balance sheet
  • Net debt ÷ EBITDA 5.5× → 2.5

Net debt ÷ EBITDA — roughly how many years of operating earnings would repay the debt — on ET&A's leverage scale.

2.5 / 10Weak
Dividend
  • Dividend yield 3.3% → 6.3

Dividend yield on ET&A's income scale. Not part of the overall health rating.

6.3 / 10Good
OverallAverage of the 5 rated areas3.6 / 10Below Average

ET&A's scales

Where each band starts on the scales above. They are fixed and identical for every company we cover; they come straight from ET&A’s methodology, so a company is judged the same way here as in our research.

MeasureExcellentStrongGoodAverageBelow AverageWeak
GrowthStructural Growth (Fundamental Conviction)18%+10%+5.0%+1.7%+−2.5%+below −2.5%
Operating marginCompetitive Position (Fundamental Conviction)29%+20%+13%+7.5%+0%+below 0% (loss)
Net marginEarnings Durability (Fundamental Conviction)23%+15%+9.8%+6.0%+0%+below 0% (loss)
Free-cash-flow marginCapital Allocation (Fundamental Conviction)15%+8.5%+3.8%+1.3%+−2.5%+below −2.5%
Net debt ÷ EBITDAStructural Risk (Fundamental Conviction)net cash≤ 1.5×≤ 2.8×≤ 3.6×≤ 5.0×above 5.0×
Return on equity (banks & insurers)Bank and insurer quality16%+12%+9.0%+6.7%+2.7%+below 2.7%
Equity ÷ assetsBank capital7.5%+6.0%+4.7%+4.0%+any—
Dividend yieldIncome factor (ET&A Quant Score)5.8%+4.0%+2.5%+1.8%+1.0%+below 1.0%

Band floors: Excellent 8.5 · Strong 7 · Good 5.5 · Average 4.5 · Below Average 3 (scores out of 10). Utilities and property companies’ structural debt is scored 6.5, as in ET&A’s risk model.

Valuation model outputsFair Value, the 12-Month Price Target, Preferred Entry and the expected return — and how each was calculated.
Peer calculationsThe comparable companies the valuation model used, with their multiples and returns.
Detailed assumptionsEvery input the valuation model used, with its source.
Research notesNo research notes published yet.

No research notes have been published for Toyota Motor Corporation yet.

Need deeper analysis on Toyota Motor Corporation? ET&A Professional includes full company notes, valuations and models — or commission bespoke research.

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